Finance

Liar's Poker

by Michael Lewis

How did a rookie get so rich?

In 1985 Michael Lewis, an art history graduate who barely knew what a bond was, joined Salomon Brothers, then the biggest name in bond trading. Soon he was a salesman in London, advising professional investors on millions. His book asks how on earth that could happen.

Hear a sample · read by Laura

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What you'll learn

  • Volcker changed the game
  • Ranieri's mortgage machine
  • Whose side is the salesman on?

The key ideas in Liar's Poker

Volcker changed the game

In October 1979 Paul Volcker's Federal Reserve stopped holding interest rates steady and began targeting the money supply instead. Rates started to swing, and bond prices swung with them. Bonds had been a sleepy corner for cautious savers. Now they were something to trade, and Salomon traded more than anyone.

Ranieri's mortgage machine

Lewis Ranieri rose from the post room to run Salomon's mortgage desk. A 1981 tax break rewarded America's savings and loans for selling home loans at a loss, and they sold in a rush. Ranieri's traders stood in the middle, turning loans into bonds and earning on each trade.

Whose side is the salesman on?

Lewis soon learned that when traders wanted to get rid of bonds, a salesman's job was to find someone to take them. Early on he talked a trusting client into bonds that promptly fell, and the traders were delighted with him. The firm's gain could be his customer's loss.

Lines worth underlining

  1. Getting in

    Lewis got his job at Salomon through a lucky seat at a dinner party, with a degree in art history.

  2. The bet

    The chairman once challenged the firm's top bond trader to a game of liar's poker with $1 million riding on it.

  3. Mortgages

    Salomon made fortunes by bundling home loans into bonds that almost nobody else understood.

  4. Customers

    A salesman could be praised for selling clients bonds the firm wanted to get rid of.

  5. Keeping score

    Young traders were paid huge sums, and money came to feel like the only way to keep score.

A story from the book

One hand, one million dollars

Salomon's chairman, John Gutfreund, once challenged John Meriwether, his star bond trader, to a single hand of liar's poker for a million dollars. Meriwether said that if they were playing for numbers like that, he'd rather play for real money, ten million. Gutfreund turned him down.

Hot take · true or myth?

A bond salesman's first loyalty was to his customer.

See the book's answer

Myth. Lewis learned he was often there to move bonds the traders wanted rid of. If the customer lost money on them, the firm could still come out ahead.

One thing to try

Ask how they're paid

The next time someone recommends a financial product to you, whether a pension, an insurance policy or a fund, ask how they're paid for selling it. Write the answer down before you decide. Lewis found the salesman's interests and the customer's could point opposite ways.

There's more to Liar's Poker

Knotd has the key ideas from 250+ non-fiction books, each in a few minutes, in plain words. Liar's Poker comes with a Hot Take round to make it stick.

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Questions about Liar's Poker

What is Liar's Poker about?

How did a rookie get so rich? In 1985 Michael Lewis, an art history graduate who barely knew what a bond was, joined Salomon Brothers, then the biggest name in bond trading. Soon he was a salesman in London, advising professional investors on millions. His book asks how on earth that could happen.

What are the key ideas in Liar's Poker?

Volcker changed the game; Ranieri's mortgage machine; Whose side is the salesman on?.

What's one thing to try from Liar's Poker?

The next time someone recommends a financial product to you, whether a pension, an insurance policy or a fund, ask how they're paid for selling it. Write the answer down before you decide. Lewis found the salesman's interests and the customer's could point opposite ways.

Is Liar's Poker on Knotd?

Yes. Knotd has the key ideas from Liar's Poker in a few minutes, in plain words, plus a Hot Take round to test them. It's one of 250+ non-fiction books in the app.